Avaí vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
49.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 1
AVA
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 1
AVA
67%
22%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 1
SAO
15%
23%
63%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
ATM
2 - 1
AVA
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
ATP
2 - 1
AVA
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 0
ATP
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
GOI
64%
22%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 2
FOR
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
JUV
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |