Avaí vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
AVA
3 - 1
PAY
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
CRB
0 - 4
AVA
34%
29%
38%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
FFL
0 - 1
AVA
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
AVA
1 - 1
SAO
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 3
AVA
22%
29%
49%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 0
CRI
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
CRI
0 - 0
JUV
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRI
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
CRI
1 - 3
CSA
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
COT
2 - 1
CRI
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |