Avaí vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
AVA
1 - 0
SPO
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 1
AVA
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 1
SAO
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
AMF
0 - 0
AVA
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
JEC
1 - 2
AVA
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
AMF
1 - 1
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
JEC
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
CHA
4 - 0
ASA
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
PAY
2 - 1
CHA
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ABC
2 - 0
CHA
31%
29%
40%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |