Avaí vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
19%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
POR
0 - 0
AVA
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2006 |
AVA
2 - 0
ITU
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2006 |
PAY
1 - 1
AVA
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
AVA
2 - 0
ATM
22%
27%
51%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2006 |
BRA
2 - 0
AVA
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
COT
5 - 1
ARN
72%
19%
9%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
ARN
2 - 0
VIL
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
ARN
1 - 0
PAU
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
CRB
4 - 2
ARN
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2006 |
NAU
1 - 0
ARN
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |