Ligue 1 - Play Offs Promotion . Final
Global 2-2
Auxerre vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2022 |
AUX
0 - 0
SOC
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
AUX
2 - 1
AMI
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
LHA
1 - 2
AUX
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AUX
1 - 0
DUN
70%
20%
11%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 1
AUX
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
NAN
1 - 1
ASS
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ASS
1 - 2
REI
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
NIC
4 - 2
ASS
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
REN
2 - 0
ASS
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ASS
1 - 4
MON
21%
23%
57%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |