Auxerre vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1991 |
SPO
0 - 3
AUX
35%
29%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1991 |
AUX
2 - 2
PSG
60%
24%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1991 |
LIL
1 - 0
AUX
35%
29%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1991 |
AUX
3 - 0
LYO
66%
22%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1991 |
CAN
1 - 1
AUX
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1991 |
CAE
2 - 0
LEN
62%
22%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAE
49%
28%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1991 |
CAE
1 - 1
SOC
55%
25%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1991 |
NÎM
0 - 1
CAE
40%
29%
31%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1991 |
CAE
1 - 0
MET
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |