Austin FC vs New York RB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austin FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
DAL
1 - 1
AUS
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
AUS
3 - 1
HOD
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 3
AUS
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
COR
2 - 3
AUS
59%
21%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
AUS
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
New York RB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
RBN
0 - 1
NYC
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
CIN
1 - 1
RBN
20%
24%
57%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
KCW
0 - 1
RBN
41%
25%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
RBN
2 - 1
AFC
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
LAN
2 - 0
RBN
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |