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MLS. Temporada Regular, Matchday 40

Austin FC vs Portland Timbers analysis

Austin FC Portland Timbers
64 ELO 67
86% Tilt 32%
394º General ELO ranking 295º
19º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
58.8%
Austin FC
19.2%
Draw
22%
Portland Timbers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
Austin FC
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
22%
Win probability
Portland Timbers
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Austin FC
+87%
+33%
Portland Timbers

Basic stats

71
29
POS
26
14
SOT
15
4
COR
1
2
GF
2
1
GC
14
9
FRK
64
67
ELO
2.4
1.4
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Austin FC
Their league position
Portland Timbers
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
46
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Los Angeles FC
67
67
100%
Austin FC
56
56
100%
FC Dallas
53
53
100%
LA Galaxy
50
50
50%
Nashville SC
50
50
50%
Minnesota United
48
48
100%
Real Salt Lake
47
47
100%
Portland Timbers
46
46
100%
Vancouver Whitecaps
43
43
10º
50%
Colorado Rapids
10º
43
43
50%
Seattle Sounders
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Sporting Kansas City
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Houston Dynamo
13º
36
36
13º
100%
San Jose Earthquakes
14º
35
35
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Austin FC
Portland Timbers
Champion
0% 0%
Knockout stages
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Portland Timbers
POR
Austin FC
AUS
Nashville SC
NSC
Atlanta United
AFC
LA Galaxy
GAL
Toronto FC
TOR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Austin FC
Austin FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO AUS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2022
AUS
Austin FC
4 - 1
Los Angeles FC
LAN
45%
27%
28%
1604 1800 -196 +16
21 Aug. 2022
MIN
Minnesota United
2 - 1
Austin FC
AUS
41%
28%
31%
1613 1441 -172 -9
14 Aug. 2022
AUS
Austin FC
4 - 3
Sporting Kansas City
KCW
41%
28%
31%
1604 1828 -224 +9
07 Aug. 2022
AUS
Austin FC
3 - 3
San Jose Earthquakes
SJE
44%
27%
29%
1604 1692 -88 0
31 Jul. 2022
KCW
Sporting Kansas City
0 - 2
Austin FC
AUS
54%
25%
22%
1588 1830 242 +17

Matches

Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers
1%
X%
2%
ELO POR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2022
POR
Portland Timbers
2 - 1
Seattle Sounders
SES
45%
27%
28%
1747 1966 -219 +9
22 Aug. 2022
KCW
Sporting Kansas City
4 - 1
Portland Timbers
POR
50%
26%
24%
1760 1818 58 -13
14 Aug. 2022
TOR
Toronto FC
3 - 1
Portland Timbers
POR
53%
25%
22%
1771 1849 78 -11
07 Aug. 2022
POR
Portland Timbers
1 - 1
FC Dallas
DAL
39%
28%
33%
1770 2126 -356 +1
04 Aug. 2022
POR
Portland Timbers
1 - 1
Nashville SC
NSC
62%
22%
17%
1775 1043 732 -5