Austin FC vs Minnesota United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austin FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
AUS
2 - 1
RSL
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
COR
3 - 0
AUS
65%
19%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
AUS
2 - 0
GAL
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AUS
3 - 4
SJE
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
AUS
1 - 2
LAN
32%
24%
44%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Minnesota United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MIN
1 - 3
COR
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
DAL
0 - 0
MIN
35%
25%
41%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
DCU
3 - 1
MIN
34%
25%
42%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MIN
2 - 0
HOD
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MIN
3 - 0
GAL
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |