Aurrera KE vs Sestao River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
71.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
DEU
3 - 1
AUR
61%
22%
18%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 1
BEA
24%
27%
49%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
IKE
0 - 2
AUR
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
AUR
0 - 1
JUV
18%
22%
60%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SFC
1 - 1
AUR
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sestao River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
SES
7 - 0
IKE
83%
11%
5%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 2
SES
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
SES
2 - 0
SFC
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 5
SES
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
RSO
1 - 2
SES
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |