Aurora FC vs Suchitepequez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
AUR
2 - 1
MUN
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
AUR
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
AUR
1 - 1
COB
37%
26%
36%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
JAL
2 - 0
AUR
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
LEO
3 - 1
AUR
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Suchitepequez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
VEN
3 - 1
ANT
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
COM
0 - 0
VEN
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
COB
3 - 0
VEN
47%
25%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
VEN
1 - 1
CHI
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
VEN
4 - 2
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |