Aurillac Arpajon vs Thiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
AUR
3 - 0
LDU
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
AIN
1 - 0
AUR
49%
22%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MON
0 - 0
AUR
41%
23%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
AUR
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
AUR
2 - 0
RVA
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +4 |
Matches
Thiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
THI
1 - 2
BOU
31%
25%
43%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
LDU
1 - 0
THI
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
THI
2 - 2
CLE
33%
25%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
VAU
1 - 0
THI
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
THI
0 - 1
AIN
35%
22%
43%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |