Aurillac Arpajon vs Moulins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LPV
4 - 2
AUR
77%
16%
7%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
AUR
3 - 2
AIN
35%
23%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
THO
3 - 2
AUR
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 0
LIM
28%
25%
47%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BOU
3 - 0
AUR
54%
24%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
THO
0 - 0
MOU
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
MOU
0 - 2
LIM
30%
25%
46%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BOU
3 - 1
MOU
57%
22%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MOU
4 - 1
VEL
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
LDU
3 - 0
MOU
48%
23%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |