Aurillac Arpajon vs Hauts Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
42.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LPV
4 - 2
AUR
77%
16%
7%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
AUR
3 - 2
AIN
35%
23%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
THO
3 - 2
AUR
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 0
LIM
28%
25%
47%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BOU
3 - 0
AUR
54%
24%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hauts Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
HAL
4 - 3
CHA
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
AIN
4 - 4
HAL
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HAL
3 - 2
THO
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
LIM
1 - 0
HAL
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
HAL
2 - 2
BOU
61%
20%
20%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |