Regionalliga Bayern. Jor. 18

FC Augsburg II vs SpVgg Ansbach analysis

FC Augsburg II SpVgg Ansbach
38 ELO 36
11.8% Tilt 10%
3513º General ELO ranking 4624º
101º Country ELO ranking 136º
ELO win probability
48.9%
FC Augsburg II
22%
Draw
29.1%
SpVgg Ansbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
FC Augsburg II
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
29.1%
Win probability
SpVgg Ansbach
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Augsburg II
+6%
-11%
SpVgg Ansbach

Points and table prediction

FC Augsburg II
Their league position
SpVgg Ansbach
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
20º
10º
50
19º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Unterhaching
86
86
100%
Würzburger Kickers
80
80
100%
Bayern München II
71
71
100%
Nürnberg II
61
61
0%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
61
61
0%
Schweinfurt
59
59
100%
SV Wacker Burghausen
56
56
100%
Greuther Fürth II
55
55
100%
Illertissen
55
55
100%
FC Augsburg II
10º
54
54
10º
100%
Aubstadt
11º
54
54
11º
100%
Buchbach
12º
53
53
12º
100%
Vilzing
13º
51
51
13º
100%
Türkgücü München
14º
50
50
14º
0%
SpVgg Ansbach
15º
50
50
15º
0%
Eichstätt
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Rain / Lech
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Hankofen-Hailing
18º
36
36
18º
100%
Heimstetten
19º
25
25
19º
100%
FC Pipinsried
20º
25
25
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Augsburg II
SpVgg Ansbach
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

FC Augsburg II
SpVgg Ansbach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Augsburg II
FC Augsburg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2022
EIC
Eichstätt
4 - 0
FC Augsburg II
AUG
34%
24%
42%
41 36 5 0
07 Oct. 2022
AUG
FC Augsburg II
4 - 0
FC Pipinsried
FCP
57%
22%
22%
39 36 3 +2
03 Oct. 2022
NUR
Nürnberg II
1 - 2
FC Augsburg II
AUG
68%
18%
14%
38 46 8 +1
30 Sep. 2022
AUG
FC Augsburg II
4 - 0
Hankofen-Hailing
HAH
52%
22%
26%
36 36 0 +2
24 Sep. 2022
WUR
Würzburger Kickers
6 - 3
FC Augsburg II
AUG
81%
13%
6%
36 53 17 0

Matches

SpVgg Ansbach
SpVgg Ansbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2022
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
1 - 1
Illertissen
ILL
49%
22%
29%
36 36 0 0
07 Oct. 2022
BUC
Buchbach
4 - 2
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
41%
23%
36%
37 37 0 -1
03 Oct. 2022
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
2 - 2
Schweinfurt
SCH
32%
24%
45%
37 42 5 0
30 Sep. 2022
UNT
Unterhaching
3 - 1
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
70%
17%
12%
37 49 12 0
24 Sep. 2022
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
2 - 1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
31%
24%
45%
35 42 7 +2
X