Auerbach vs Union Berlin II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2015 |
BUD
2 - 1
AUE
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
AUE
2 - 1
BAB
47%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NEU
2 - 4
AUE
67%
19%
13%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
AUE
0 - 1
BFC
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
AUE
1 - 0
GER
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
ZWI
0 - 3
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
UNI
4 - 1
MEU
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 1
BAB
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GER
1 - 3
UNI
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 3
VIK
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |