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Regionalliga. Nordost, Matchday 27

Auerbach vs Oberlausitz Neugersdorf analysis

Auerbach Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
14 ELO 17
-2% Tilt -1%
5567º General ELO ranking 12605º
207º Country ELO ranking 496º
ELO win probability
45.3%
Auerbach
27%
Draw
27.7%
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
Auerbach
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.7%
Win probability
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Auerbach
+22%
-3%
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
75
75
100%
Energie Cottbus
66
66
100%
RB Leipzig II
60
60
100%
Viktoria Berlin
56
56
100%
SV Babelsberg 03
55
55
50%
Berliner AK 07
55
55
50%
Wacker Nordhausen
51
51
100%
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
48
48
50%
Hertha BSC II
48
48
50%
Lokomotive Leipzig
10º
47
47
10º
50%
Schönberg
11º
47
47
11º
50%
Auerbach
12º
45
45
12º
50%
Union Fürstenwalde
13º
45
45
13º
50%
Meuselwitz
14º
44
44
14º
50%
BFC Dynamo
15º
44
44
15º
50%
Luckenwalde
16º
24
24
16º
100%
Budissa Bautzen
17º
18
18
17º
100%
Neustrelitz
18º
11
11
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Auerbach
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Auerbach
AUE
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
OBE
SV Babelsberg 03
BAB
Lokomotive Leipzig
LOK
Meuselwitz
MEU
Viktoria Berlin
VIK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Auerbach
Auerbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO AUE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2017
WAC
Wacker Nordhausen
0 - 2
Auerbach
AUE
47%
27%
26%
208 250 42 +2
29 Mar. 2017
AUE
Auerbach
2 - 1
Neustrelitz
NEU
45%
27%
28%
201 184 17 0
17 Mar. 2017
AUE
Auerbach
1 - 1
Luckenwalde
LUC
47%
27%
26%
207 157 50 0
12 Mar. 2017
COT
Energie Cottbus
1 - 3
Auerbach
AUE
53%
25%
22%
204 458 254 +3
05 Mar. 2017
AUE
Auerbach
3 - 0
Hertha BSC II
HER
39%
28%
34%
201 386 -185 +3

Matches

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO OBE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2017
OBE
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
0 - 0
Meuselwitz
MEU
45%
27%
27%
234 254 -20 0
19 Mar. 2017
BFC
BFC Dynamo
1 - 1
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
OBE
47%
27%
26%
234 332 98 0
12 Mar. 2017
OBE
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
0 - 2
Viktoria Berlin
VIK
46%
27%
27%
236 268 -32 -2
04 Mar. 2017
SCH
Schönberg
2 - 0
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
OBE
42%
28%
30%
238 180 -58 -2
26 Feb. 2017
OBE
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
1 - 1
RB Leipzig II
RBL
45%
27%
28%
238 223 15 0