Audax São Paulo vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 1
AUD
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
LIN
2 - 0
AUD
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
AUD
0 - 2
LIN
53%
22%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
AUD
2 - 2
SAO
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 3
AUD
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 2
LIN
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
4 - 2
UNI
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAO
40%
25%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
LIN
3 - 1
UNI
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 3
AUD
41%
24%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |