Audace Cerignola vs Molfetta Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FCF
2 - 3
AUD
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
AUD
0 - 0
FIA
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
AUD
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 0
AUD
29%
29%
43%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
AUD
0 - 0
TAR
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Molfetta Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MOL
3 - 3
USB
27%
25%
47%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
FCF
2 - 3
MOL
34%
22%
44%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MOL
1 - 0
LAV
36%
22%
42%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FIA
2 - 1
MOL
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MOL
1 - 1
NAR
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |