FK Auda vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
7º
3º
53
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 2
AUD
20%
26%
54%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AUD
2 - 0
SUP
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 3
DYN
30%
24%
46%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 0
KOL
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 1
MIN
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIE
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
RIG
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ROS
3 - 0
VAL
10%
15%
75%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DYN
1 - 1
VAL
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
5 - 0
FKA
91%
8%
2%
|
77 | 32 | 45 | 0 |