Auckland City vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
WEL
1 - 1
AUC
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
AUC
2 - 0
CAN
68%
18%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
AUC
3 - 1
TEA
47%
23%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
HAW
0 - 4
AUC
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 1
AUC
38%
27%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
WAI
2 - 0
HAW
64%
19%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
HAW
3 - 2
WAI
29%
25%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
WAI
4 - 0
EAS
41%
25%
35%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
TEA
3 - 4
WAI
73%
16%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
WAI
3 - 3
CAN
52%
22%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |