Auckland City vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 1
AUC
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
AUC
2 - 1
MAG
85%
10%
5%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
OTA
0 - 0
AUC
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AUC
5 - 0
WAI
78%
14%
7%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AUC
5 - 0
MAN
90%
7%
3%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | -1 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 1
WAI
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 0
MAN
87%
10%
4%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 0
CAN
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MAG
1 - 1
WAI
17%
20%
63%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 3
AUC
53%
23%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |