Auckland City vs Tefana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TEA
0 - 2
AUC
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
AUC
0 - 1
CAN
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 2
AUC
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
AUC
1 - 0
WAI
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
MAG
0 - 1
AUC
10%
16%
74%
|
69 | 29 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Tefana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
TEF
0 - 3
MAG
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
TEF
3 - 1
WAI
13%
18%
69%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
TEF
1 - 1
AUC
17%
20%
63%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
MAG
1 - 0
TEF
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
WAI
3 - 1
TEF
80%
13%
7%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |