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Segunda Nueva Zelanda. Norte, Matchday 4

Auckland City vs Hamilton Wanderers analysis

Auckland City Hamilton Wanderers
20 ELO 14
53% Tilt 81%
7807º General ELO ranking 10604º
11º Country ELO ranking 130º
ELO win probability
46.9%
Auckland City
20.9%
Draw
32.2%
Hamilton Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
Auckland City
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
32.2%
Win probability
Hamilton Wanderers
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Points and table prediction

Auckland City
Their league position
Hamilton Wanderers
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
20
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Auckland City
46
54
100%
Auckland United
34
37
58%
Eastern Suburbs AFC
31
35
26%
Birkenhead United
30
34
25%
Western Springs
28
36
23%
Bay Olympic
25
29
42%
North Shore
21
26
23%
Melville United
21
25
20%
Hamilton Wanderers
20
27
20%
Manukau United
10º
19
23
10º
52%
Northern AFC
11º
11
14
11º
51%
West Coast Rangers
12º
11
12
12º
50%
Expected probabilities
Auckland City
Hamilton Wanderers
Champion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Auckland City
AUC
Hamilton Wanderers
HAW
Auckland United
AFC
West Coast Rangers
WCR
Bay Olympic
BAO
Western Springs
WES
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Auckland City
Auckland City
1%
X%
2%
ELO AUC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jun. 2021
BAO
Bay Olympic
1 - 2
Auckland City
AUC
45%
27%
29%
263 175 -88 0
14 Mar. 2021
AUC
Auckland City
2 - 1
Eastern Suburbs AFC
EAS
51%
25%
23%
570 417 153 +2
27 Feb. 2021
AUC
Auckland City
2 - 2
Waitakere United
WAI
50%
26%
24%
570 372 198 0
20 Feb. 2021
WEL
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
1 - 1
Auckland City
AUC
37%
27%
35%
570 226 -344 0
14 Feb. 2021
AUC
Auckland City
2 - 0
Canterbury United
CAN
52%
26%
22%
568 272 296 +2

Matches

Hamilton Wanderers
Hamilton Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO HAW ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2021
HAW
Hamilton Wanderers
1 - 2
North Shore
NSH
41%
28%
31%
202 263 -61 -1
13 Mar. 2021
TEA
Team Wellington
4 - 1
Hamilton Wanderers
HAW
53%
25%
22%
283 522 239 -2
27 Feb. 2021
TEA
Team Wellington
3 - 2
Hamilton Wanderers
HAW
53%
25%
22%
285 520 235 -1
21 Feb. 2021
EAS
Eastern Suburbs AFC
1 - 1
Hamilton Wanderers
HAW
47%
27%
26%
285 416 131 0
14 Feb. 2021
HAW
Hamilton Wanderers
3 - 2
Waitakere United
WAI
41%
28%
31%
283 372 -89 +2