Auckland City vs Hamilton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
5º
1º
20
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 37 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 35 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 34 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 36 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 29 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 26 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 25 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 27 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
10º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
11º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 100% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 0% | 100% |
| Relegation | 0% | 0% |
ELO progression
AUC
HAW
AFC
WCR
BAO
WES
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO AUC | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
BAO
1 - 2
AUC
45%
27%
29%
|
263 | 175 | -88 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
AUC
2 - 1
EAS
51%
25%
23%
|
570 | 417 | 153 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
AUC
2 - 2
WAI
50%
26%
24%
|
570 | 372 | 198 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
WEL
1 - 1
AUC
37%
27%
35%
|
570 | 226 | -344 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
AUC
2 - 0
CAN
52%
26%
22%
|
568 | 272 | 296 | +2 |
Matches
Hamilton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO HAW | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
HAW
1 - 2
NSH
41%
28%
31%
|
202 | 263 | -61 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TEA
4 - 1
HAW
53%
25%
22%
|
283 | 522 | 239 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
TEA
3 - 2
HAW
53%
25%
22%
|
285 | 520 | 235 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 1
HAW
47%
27%
26%
|
285 | 416 | 131 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
HAW
3 - 2
WAI
41%
28%
31%
|
283 | 372 | -89 | +2 |