Auckland City vs Eastern Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
2.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 0
AUC
16%
19%
65%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
WES
3 - 5
AUC
11%
17%
72%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AUC
3 - 1
WEL
78%
12%
10%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
VEN
0 - 3
AUC
5%
12%
83%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 0
CCO
91%
6%
3%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NSH
2 - 2
EAS
9%
13%
78%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
EAS
1 - 4
MEL
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -3 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
EAS
0 - 0
WES
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MUF
1 - 1
EAS
13%
16%
71%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
EAS
1 - 3
BIR
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |