Aucas vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
AUC
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 2
AUC
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AUC
1 - 1
LIG
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 0
AUC
33%
23%
44%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CUE
1 - 2
AUC
28%
25%
48%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 1
IVT
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TEC
3 - 1
RIV
42%
27%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 0
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
DEL
1 - 3
RIV
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 0
EME
29%
26%
46%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |