Aucas vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 1
AUC
43%
30%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 0
NAC
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LOJ
2 - 1
AUC
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 3
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
AUC
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 1
MUS
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
LOJ
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
EME
3 - 1
RIV
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 0
RIV
63%
22%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
AUC
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |