Aucas vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
IVT
1 - 0
AUC
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
AUC
0 - 0
ORE
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
EME
2 - 2
AUC
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AUC
1 - 1
MUS
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
AUC
3 - 0
RIV
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 0
MUS
36%
27%
38%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CUE
1 - 0
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 1
UCE
23%
25%
53%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
BSC
2 - 0
MAN
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 4
EME
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |