Aucas vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BSC
2 - 1
AUC
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
LIG
0 - 0
AUC
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
AUC
3 - 0
AME
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
AUC
0 - 0
LIG
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
FAM
3 - 3
AUC
22%
27%
51%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 1
DEL
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
IVT
0 - 2
MAC
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 1
MAC
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 1
EME
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
UCE
1 - 3
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |