Aucas vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
AUC
0 - 1
LOJ
68%
19%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AME
1 - 2
AUC
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BSC
3 - 3
AUC
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
AUC
1 - 0
CUE
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
AUC
0 - 0
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
TEC
3 - 0
AME
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LDU
1 - 0
TEC
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
IMB
1 - 2
TEC
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TEC
1 - 2
MAN
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
OLM
1 - 2
TEC
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |