Aucas vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
AUC
3 - 0
MAN
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
IVT
1 - 0
AUC
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
AUC
0 - 0
ORE
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
EME
2 - 2
AUC
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AUC
1 - 1
MUS
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
OCT
2 - 2
EME
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
OLM
1 - 2
OCT
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
OCT
0 - 1
TEC
58%
22%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 2
OCT
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
OCT
4 - 1
LIG
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |