Aubervilliers vs Blanc Mesnil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
5º
1º
29
13º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AUB
2 - 0
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ESA
1 - 3
AUB
43%
22%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AUB
2 - 2
VTR
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 1
AUB
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
AUB
1 - 2
LUL
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Blanc Mesnil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 0
MFC
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
BLA
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
IVR
4 - 1
BLA
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 2
SAN
44%
25%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ESA
2 - 3
BLA
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |