Provincial Lieja. Jor. 21

Aubel vs Ster-Francorchamps analysis

Aubel Ster-Francorchamps
31 ELO 27
-13.1% Tilt -15%
5550º General ELO ranking 5570º
155º Country ELO ranking 157º
ELO win probability
53.3%
Aubel
23.6%
Draw
23%
Ster-Francorchamps

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
Aubel
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23%
Win probability
Ster-Francorchamps
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aubel
-19%
+8%
Ster-Francorchamps

Points and table prediction

Aubel
Their league position
Ster-Francorchamps
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
15º
43
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Elsautoise
66
69
100%
Wanze / Bas-Oha
59
62
100%
Malmundaria
49
52
100%
Ster-Francorchamps
43
46
100%
Hannutois
46
46
100%
FC Du Geer
45
45
100%
Aubel
44
44
100%
JS Fizoise
43
44
100%
Hombourg
39
40
59%
Beaufays
10º
39
40
10º
59%
FC Eupen
11º
37
37
11º
100%
UCE Liège
12º
34
37
12º
100%
Mélen-Micheroux
13º
33
33
13º
45%
Ougrée
14º
30
33
14º
45%
Etoile De Faimes
15º
23
24
15º
100%
Sprimont-Comblain II
16º
12
12
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Aubel
Ster-Francorchamps
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Aubel
Ster-Francorchamps
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aubel
Aubel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2023
SPC
Sprimont-Comblain II
0 - 3
Aubel
RAU
17%
22%
61%
31 17 14 0
19 Mar. 2023
RAU
Aubel
1 - 1
Hannutois
HAN
47%
23%
30%
30 28 2 +1
12 Mar. 2023
EUP
FC Eupen
1 - 0
Aubel
RAU
32%
23%
45%
31 22 9 -1
05 Mar. 2023
RAU
Aubel
2 - 2
Elsautoise
ELS
30%
23%
47%
30 34 4 +1
26 Feb. 2023
RAU
Aubel
0 - 0
Mélen-Micheroux
MEL
59%
22%
19%
31 24 7 -1

Matches

Ster-Francorchamps
Ster-Francorchamps
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2023
SFR
Ster-Francorchamps
1 - 2
Hombourg
HOM
71%
17%
13%
27 21 6 0
19 Mar. 2023
SFR
Ster-Francorchamps
1 - 1
UCE Liège
LIE
54%
22%
24%
27 26 1 0
12 Mar. 2023
OUG
Ougrée
1 - 2
Ster-Francorchamps
SFR
46%
24%
30%
25 23 2 +2
05 Mar. 2023
EDF
Etoile De Faimes
1 - 0
Ster-Francorchamps
SFR
31%
24%
45%
26 20 6 -1
26 Feb. 2023
SFR
Ster-Francorchamps
2 - 1
Wanze / Bas-Oha
WAN
30%
22%
48%
25 32 7 +1
X