Royal Aubel vs FC Eupen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
15º
7º
37
3º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
45% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
14º
|
45% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Royal Aubel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 1
RAU
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HOM
0 - 0
RAU
33%
24%
44%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RAU
1 - 0
EDF
38%
23%
40%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SFR
3 - 0
RAU
48%
24%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RAU
2 - 1
SPC
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Eupen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
EUP
1 - 1
HOM
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
EDF
0 - 5
EUP
70%
17%
14%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
EUP
1 - 1
SFR
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SPC
0 - 1
EUP
59%
21%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
EUP
2 - 3
ELS
15%
17%
68%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |