Aubagne vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
12º
1º
11
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
AUB
39%
26%
34%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 1
FRE
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OLY
3 - 1
AUB
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AUB
0 - 0
JUR
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AND
3 - 1
AUB
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
TOU
0 - 1
GRA
17%
24%
59%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 2
TOU
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
TOU
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TOU
2 - 4
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FRE
3 - 1
TOU
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |