Aubagne vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
77.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
AUB
2 - 2
LEG
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
AUB
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MAX
1 - 3
AUB
11%
16%
72%
|
44 | 7 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 3
AUB
28%
25%
46%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
AUB
0 - 0
FRE
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 0
TFC
29%
26%
44%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
TFC
3 - 0
AMI
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ROD
1 - 0
TFC
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
TFC
3 - 0
AJA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
GIR
0 - 2
TFC
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |