National 3 . Jor. 16

Aubagne vs Ajaccio II analysis

Aubagne Ajaccio II
39 ELO 33
7.2% Tilt 1%
3458º General ELO ranking 7951º
68º Country ELO ranking 206º
ELO win probability
64.8%
Aubagne
19%
Draw
16.2%
Ajaccio II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
Aubagne
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.2%
Win probability
Ajaccio II
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aubagne
+61%
-46%
Ajaccio II

ELO progression

Aubagne
Ajaccio II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aubagne
Aubagne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jan. 2015
ILE
Île-Rousse Monticello
1 - 3
Aubagne
AUB
42%
23%
35%
37 35 2 0
24 Jan. 2015
AUB
Aubagne
0 - 0
Arles II
ARL
67%
18%
15%
37 31 6 0
10 Jan. 2015
AIX
Aix les Bains
2 - 4
Aubagne
AUB
46%
23%
31%
36 35 1 +1
20 Dec. 2014
AUB
Aubagne
3 - 0
ES Pennoise
ESP
56%
21%
24%
35 35 0 +1
13 Dec. 2014
OLY
Olympique Alès
1 - 1
Aubagne
AUB
74%
17%
9%
35 51 16 0

Matches

Ajaccio II
Ajaccio II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2015
MAR
Olympique Marseille II
3 - 1
Ajaccio II
AJA
60%
22%
18%
35 38 3 0
24 Jan. 2015
AJA
Ajaccio II
0 - 3
Île-Rousse Monticello
ILE
57%
21%
23%
36 33 3 -1
10 Jan. 2015
LAS
LAS Toulon
0 - 1
Ajaccio II
AJA
52%
23%
25%
36 36 0 0
20 Dec. 2014
AJA
Ajaccio II
0 - 0
Aix les Bains
AIX
53%
21%
26%
36 35 1 0
13 Dec. 2014
ESP
ES Pennoise
1 - 0
Ajaccio II
AJA
43%
24%
33%
38 34 4 -2
X