AU Guimar B vs Arafo FEM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AU Guimar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
UTS
1 - 0
GUI
88%
9%
4%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
GUI
3 - 1
CHE
33%
22%
46%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
UIS
5 - 3
GUI
35%
22%
43%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -3 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 3
ROQ
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 1
GUI
33%
23%
45%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arafo FEM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 2
SAT
48%
21%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
CAG
3 - 1
ARA
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
3 - 2
NCI
36%
22%
42%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
4 - 3
ARA
67%
18%
16%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ARA
5 - 2
IGU
54%
21%
25%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +2 |