Atyrau vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
39.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
11º
9º
12
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 43 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 42 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 40 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
12 | 34 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 34 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 33 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 32 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 31 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 29 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 29 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 28 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 26 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 26 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5% | 24% |
|
Mid-table
|
70% | 67% |
|
Relegation
|
25% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atyrau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
ATY
3 - 1
KAI
26%
24%
50%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 0
ATY
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ATY
2 - 0
KYZ
34%
30%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 1
ATY
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ATY
6 - 0
SDF
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 22 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
AST
1 - 1
KAI
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
AST
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
AST
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 2
AST
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AST
2 - 2
TOB
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |