Oberliga Bayern North Round 11

ATSV Erlangen vs TSV Abtswind analysis

ATSV Erlangen TSV Abtswind
29 ELO 38
-2.4% Tilt 2%
4307º General ELO ranking 5502º
196º Country ELO ranking 278º
ELO win probability
26.8%
ATSV Erlangen
22.7%
Draw
50.5%
TSV Abtswind

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
ATSV Erlangen
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
50.5%
Win probability
TSV Abtswind
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ATSV Erlangen
-7%
-49%
TSV Abtswind

Points and table prediction

ATSV Erlangen
Their league position
TSV Abtswind
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
15º
13º
59
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hankofen-Hailing
71
71
100%
VfB Eichstätt
68
68
100%
Eltersdorf
67
67
100%
TSV Abtswind
59
59
100%
Ingolstadt 04 II
55
58
90.5%
Bayern Hof
58
58
90.5%
ASV Cham
55
55
100%
Ammerthal
54
54
0%
Neudrossenfeld
54
54
0%
DJK Gebenbach
10º
52
52
10º
0%
Jahn Regensburg II
11º
52
52
11º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
12º
52
52
12º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
13º
52
52
13º
0%
TSV Kornburg
14º
49
49
14º
100%
Fortuna Regensburg
15º
48
48
15º
100%
FC Coburg
16º
41
41
16º
100%
Würzburger FV
17º
27
27
17º
100%
SV Donaustauf
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Feucht SC
19º
16
16
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
ATSV Erlangen
TSV Abtswind
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

ATSV Erlangen
TSV Abtswind
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ATSV Erlangen
ATSV Erlangen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Sep. 2023
HAH
Hankofen-Hailing
3 - 0
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
69%
18%
14%
29 39 10 0
01 Sep. 2023
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
2 - 1
FC Coburg
FCC
60%
20%
20%
29 25 4 0
26 Aug. 2023
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
1 - 3
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
79%
13%
8%
27 40 13 +2
22 Aug. 2023
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
3 - 1
Fortuna Regensburg
REG
57%
20%
23%
26 22 4 +1
18 Aug. 2023
DJK
DJK Gebenbach
3 - 1
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
79%
13%
8%
26 38 12 0

Matches

TSV Abtswind
TSV Abtswind
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Sep. 2023
FCC
FC Coburg
1 - 1
TSV Abtswind
TSV
20%
21%
59%
38 25 13 0
26 Aug. 2023
BAY
Bayern Hof
2 - 0
TSV Abtswind
TSV
21%
21%
58%
40 27 13 -2
18 Aug. 2023
FEU
Feucht SC
0 - 4
TSV Abtswind
TSV
15%
20%
66%
39 23 16 +1
15 Aug. 2023
TSV
TSV Abtswind
2 - 0
Fortuna Regensburg
REG
78%
14%
8%
38 23 15 +1
11 Aug. 2023
TSV
TSV Abtswind
1 - 1
Ammerthal
AMM
53%
21%
26%
38 35 3 0