Copa Brasil Sub 17 Final Stages Last 16
Global 11-1
Athletico PR U17 vs Gramadense U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico PR U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 0
BSC
84%
11%
5%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 6
PAL
41%
24%
36%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
PAL
4 - 1
ATH
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
ATH
3 - 2
FLU
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 4
ATH
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gramadense U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 3
GRA
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |