Apertura Argentina Temporada Regular round 14

Atl. Tucumán vs Independiente analysis

Atl. Tucumán Independiente
84 ELO 84
-1% Tilt -17.3%
276º General ELO ranking 258º
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
50.1%
Atl. Tucumán
26.1%
Draw
23.8%
Independiente

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
Atl. Tucumán
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.8%
Win probability
Independiente
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atl. Tucumán
+2%
+6%
Independiente

ELO progression

Atl. Tucumán
Independiente
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atl. Tucumán
Atl. Tucumán
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2025
GOD
Godoy Cruz
1 - 0
Atl. Tucumán
ATT
43%
28%
29%
84 84 0 0
12 Apr. 2025
SLO
San Lorenzo
1 - 0
Atl. Tucumán
ATT
41%
28%
30%
84 84 0 0
08 Apr. 2025
ATT
Atl. Tucumán
3 - 2
Instituto
INS
46%
26%
28%
84 84 0 0
02 Apr. 2025
ATT
Atl. Tucumán
2 - 1
All Boys
ALB
57%
23%
20%
84 80 4 0
29 Mar. 2025
PLA
Platense
2 - 1
Atl. Tucumán
ATT
36%
30%
34%
84 84 0 0

Matches

Independiente
Independiente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2025
IND
Independiente
0 - 0
Dep. Riestra
RIE
43%
28%
29%
84 84 0 0
23 Apr. 2025
GUA
Guaraní
2 - 1
Independiente
IND
35%
29%
36%
84 78 6 0
13 Apr. 2025
IND
Independiente
2 - 0
San Martín San Juan
SMA
45%
29%
27%
84 84 0 0
09 Apr. 2025
IND
Independiente
2 - 1
Boston River
BOS
50%
26%
24%
84 80 4 0
06 Apr. 2025
LAN
Lanús
1 - 1
Independiente
IND
47%
28%
26%
84 84 0 0