Atletico Rafaela vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
DAL
0 - 0
RAF
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
RAF
3 - 1
ALM
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SMA
3 - 0
RAF
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
RAF
3 - 2
INS
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
RSA
1 - 1
RAF
33%
28%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SAR
3 - 1
QUI
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
DEF
3 - 0
SAR
23%
28%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 1
TIG
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BRO
1 - 1
SAR
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SAR
5 - 1
CHA
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |