Atletico Rafaela vs San Martín San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
PLA
1 - 1
RAF
31%
29%
41%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
RAF
5 - 0
OLI
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
TAL
0 - 1
RAF
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
RAF
0 - 0
ALD
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
FER
5 - 0
RAF
34%
30%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SMA
1 - 1
ALM
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CAU
2 - 2
SMA
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PLA
1 - 0
SMA
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SMA
5 - 1
OLI
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TAL
1 - 2
SMA
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |