Atletico Rafaela vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 2
RAF
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
RAF
0 - 2
UNI
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
RAF
4 - 1
DEF
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
RAF
13%
19%
68%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
RAF
4 - 1
SAS
93%
6%
1%
|
70 | 18 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 1
BUC
54%
25%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
RAF
0 - 2
QUI
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
QUI
2 - 1
MOR
46%
28%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
MIT
1 - 1
QUI
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
QUI
2 - 3
ALB
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |