Atletico Rafaela vs Brown Adrogue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 1
RAF
46%
29%
25%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 1
SMA
25%
28%
48%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
SUA
4 - 0
RAF
39%
28%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
RAF
2 - 2
AGR
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
INS
0 - 0
RAF
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brown Adrogue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BRO
2 - 0
GBR
52%
27%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 1
BRO
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
BRO
0 - 0
DEF
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
SMA
2 - 1
BRO
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 0
SUA
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |