A. Peñafiel vs Villa de Simancas B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
42.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+362%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Peñafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RUE
4 - 1
ATL
64%
19%
17%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 1
RAC
54%
21%
25%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ATL
45%
21%
34%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 2
MED
21%
20%
59%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 0
VIC
12%
17%
72%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villa de Simancas B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 3
CEC
42%
24%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PED
1 - 2
VIL
28%
23%
49%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
CIS
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LAG
1 - 2
VIL
69%
17%
14%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 4
VIL
39%
22%
40%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |