A. Peñafiel vs Santovenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
17.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1173%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Peñafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RAC
2 - 3
ATL
24%
21%
56%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
3 - 1
NIC
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PIO
0 - 0
ATL
18%
19%
63%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
5 - 2
VIC
72%
16%
13%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 7
ATL
17%
18%
65%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Santovenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
PAR
41%
22%
38%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SEQ
1 - 4
SAN
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BOS
1 - 0
SAN
51%
21%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
RAC
50%
21%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
NIC
0 - 3
SAN
36%
22%
43%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |