Athletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
42%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1979 |
ATP
1 - 0
CAL
71%
20%
10%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
GOY
0 - 1
ATP
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1979 |
ATP
0 - 0
SCI
26%
30%
44%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
DES
1 - 0
ATP
36%
30%
34%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1979 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAO
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
ASA
0 - 1
VAS
19%
24%
57%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
VAS
0 - 0
GOI
63%
23%
15%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
AMF
0 - 0
VAS
23%
30%
48%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
VAS
4 - 0
BOT
77%
14%
9%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1979 |
CEN
0 - 1
VAS
17%
23%
60%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |