Athletico Paranaense vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 0
ATP
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
ATP
30%
27%
43%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
ATP
4 - 1
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ATP
0 - 0
SCI
46%
27%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
ATP
2 - 1
BAH
66%
20%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
AMF
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 3
GOI
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
SCI
3 - 3
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
FLU
48%
26%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAO
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |